Weather for Saturday 12/8/12 & a Look at Sunday’s Storm

 

Tomorrow morning, temperatures are expected to be in the lower to middle 30’s across Lubbock with mostly clear skies and light winds. Saturday will likely end up being the last mild day for a while, with high temperatures expected to top out in the mid 60’s northwest of Lubbock; with upper 60’s inside the loop. High clouds will likely be intermittent through the day, with winds gradually picking up out of the southwest and gusting to near 20 mph by late afternoon.

 

Weekend Storm System:

A very strong cold front looks to begin affecting the northern South Plains shortly  after midnight Sunday morning, with the front through the entire area before 7am. Behind the  cold front we can expect increasing clouds, northerly wind gusts approaching 40 mph, and falling temperatures. This is beginning to appear that this storm system will be a ‘multi-hazard’ weather event, or a weather event which present multiple types of inclement weather; the first being the very cold temperatures.  Temperatures will hold around 40° in the afternoon, however they will fall rapidly after sunset.  Lubbock should fall to near freezing between 6PM-8PM on Sunday night with howling winds producing wind chills in the teens. These howling winds could also  pick up quite a bit of dust across the area, which produces another hazard in itself. Be mindful if driving large vehicles along east-west roads on Sunday afternoon, as strong northerly winds could easily blow over large trucks. Lastly, there is a threat of frozen precipitation; most likely in the form of snow on the Caprock. As figure 1 shows, there will likely be a band of light snow propagating out of New Mexico and the northern Panhandle by Sunday evening. While accumulations still appear to be very light; it will be a neat sight. However,precipitation amounts are not set-in-stone yet. At this time, I wouldn’t expect much more than a dusting in Lubbock by early Monday morning. This cold weather will continue into early next week with highs barely reaching 40° on Monday, with overnight lows in the teens!

Courtesy of Texas Tech University ATMO

The Texas Tech ‘WRF’ model indicates a band of snow moving towards the South Plains

The specifics in the above discussion could still easily change depending how much moisture actually ends up being present, as well as just how cold temperatures will be behind the cold front.

 

Stay tuned for a detailed breakdown of temperatures and snowfall amounts,

Cutter Martin (KTXT Weather)

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